Ndryshimet klimatike po sjellin m\u00eb pak dit\u00eb me reshje, por kur ato ndodhin, shiu mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb shum\u00eb m\u00eb intensiv. Sipas skenar\u00ebve klimatik\u00eb, kjo prirje pritet t\u00eb vazhdoj\u00eb edhe n\u00eb dekadat e ardhshme.<\/p>\n
T\u00eb dh\u00ebnat historike t\u00eb regjistruara nga stacionet meteorologjike b\u00ebjn\u00eb t\u00eb mundur gjurmimin e ndryshimeve t\u00eb reshjeve n\u00eb Zvic\u00ebr.<\/p>\n
\u201cQ\u00eb nga vitet 1980, kur u vendos\u00ebn instrumente t\u00eb afta p\u00ebr t\u00eb regjistruar reshjet me intervale kohore prej dhjet\u00eb minutash, intensiteti i reshjeve t\u00eb dendura gjat\u00eb nj\u00eb periudhe dhjet\u00ebminut\u00ebshe \u00ebsht\u00eb rritur me rreth 20%\u201d, shpjegon meteorologu Luca Nisi.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb nj\u00eb periudh\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb gjat\u00eb, gjat\u00eb 100 viteve t\u00eb fundit, episodet e reshjeve t\u00eb dendura ditore jan\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb rreth 26% m\u00eb t\u00eb shpeshta dhe rreth 12% m\u00eb intensive.<\/p>\n
Ky fenomen, i cili rrit ekspozimin ndaj ngjarjeve ekstreme, lidhet drejtp\u00ebrdrejt me ndryshimet klimatike.<\/p>\n
Atmosfera m\u00eb e ngroht\u00eb mban m\u00eb shum\u00eb uj\u00eb<\/p>\n
P\u00ebr t\u00eb kuptuar se si ndryshimet klimatike ndikojn\u00eb n\u00eb intensitetin e reshjeve, duhet par\u00eb fizika e atmosfer\u00ebs.<\/p>\n
\u201cKur temperatura rritet me nj\u00eb grad\u00eb Celsius, ajri mund t\u00eb mbaj\u00eb rreth 7% m\u00eb shum\u00eb avull uji\u201d, shpjegon Nisi.<\/p>\n
Ky proces lidhet me nj\u00eb parim t\u00eb termodinamik\u00ebs: me rritjen e temperatur\u00ebs, rritet edhe sasia e avullit t\u00eb ujit q\u00eb, p\u00ebrmes avullimit nga toka dhe sip\u00ebrfaqet ujore, grumbullohet n\u00eb atmosfer\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Kur krijohen kushtet e nevojshme p\u00ebr kondensimin dhe formimin e reshjeve, n\u00eb atmosfer\u00eb ka potencialisht m\u00eb shum\u00eb uj\u00eb n\u00eb dispozicion p\u00ebr t\u00eb ushqyer episode t\u00eb fuqishme shiu.<\/p>\n
Vera m\u00eb t\u00eb thata, reshje m\u00eb intensive<\/p>\n
Skenar\u00ebt klimatik\u00eb CH2025 parashikojn\u00eb nj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr ndryshim t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm. N\u00eb p\u00ebrgjith\u00ebsi, sasia vjetore e reshjeve nuk pritet t\u00eb ndryshoj\u00eb ndjesh\u00ebm, por shp\u00ebrndarja e tyre gjat\u00eb stin\u00ebve do t\u00eb ndryshoj\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Verat pritet t\u00eb jen\u00eb mesatarisht m\u00eb t\u00eb thata, nd\u00ebrsa reshjet gjat\u00eb dimrit do t\u00eb shtohen.<\/p>\n
Rritja m\u00eb e madhe pritet t\u00eb v\u00ebrehet te reshjet me koh\u00ebzgjatje t\u00eb shkurt\u00ebr, t\u00eb lidhura zakonisht me stuhit\u00eb.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb nj\u00eb skenar ku ngrohja globale arrin n\u00eb 3\u00b0C, reshjet p\u00ebr or\u00eb mund t\u00eb rriten me 10% deri n\u00eb 30%, nd\u00ebrsa reshjet ditore mund t\u00eb shtohen me 5% deri n\u00eb 25%, sipas t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave t\u00eb cituara nga Luca Nisi.<\/p>\n
\u201cKjo rritje lidhet kryesisht me reshjet e shoq\u00ebruara me stuhi\u201d, thekson meteorologu.<\/p>\n
Kjo p\u00ebrb\u00ebn nj\u00eb sfid\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht n\u00eb jug t\u00eb Alpeve, ku rreziku nga p\u00ebrmbytjet \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb i lart\u00eb. Nj\u00eb shembull i af\u00ebrt \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrmbytja shkat\u00ebrruese n\u00eb Val Maggia, n\u00eb kantonin Ticino, gjat\u00eb ver\u00ebs s\u00eb vitit 2024.<\/p>\n
Ngjarjet ekstreme do t\u00eb b\u00ebhen m\u00eb t\u00eb shpeshta<\/p>\n
\u201cKjo nuk do t\u00eb thot\u00eb se \u00e7do episod reshjesh do t\u00eb arrij\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb intensitet, por ngjarjet ekstreme do t\u00eb b\u00ebhen m\u00eb t\u00eb shpeshta se m\u00eb par\u00eb\u201d, thot\u00eb Nisi.<\/p>\n
Rajonet alpine dhe jugu i Alpeve kan\u00eb qen\u00eb gjithmon\u00eb t\u00eb ekspozuara ndaj reshjeve intensive, p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb relievit malor dhe af\u00ebrsis\u00eb me Mesdheun. Megjithat\u00eb, ngrohja globale po kontribuon n\u00eb p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzimin e k\u00ebtyre fenomeneve.<\/p>\n
Sipas parashikimeve klimatike, nj\u00eb episod ekstrem reshjesh q\u00eb gjat\u00eb periudh\u00ebs 1991\u20132020 ndodhte mesatarisht nj\u00eb her\u00eb n\u00eb 50 vjet, n\u00eb nj\u00eb bot\u00eb me 3\u00b0C m\u00eb shum\u00eb ngrohje mund t\u00eb ndodh\u00eb nj\u00eb her\u00eb n\u00eb 25 vjet.<\/p>\n
Nj\u00eb ngjarje e till\u00eb do t\u00eb ishte gjithashtu m\u00eb intensive.<\/p>\n
\u201cParashikojm\u00eb rreth 11% m\u00eb shum\u00eb reshje\u201d, thot\u00eb Nisi.<\/p>\n
P\u00ebrmbytje si n\u00eb ver\u00eb, ashtu edhe n\u00eb dim\u00ebr<\/p>\n
Kombinimi i reshjeve m\u00eb intensive me verat m\u00eb t\u00eb thata mund t\u00eb forcoj\u00eb edhe fenomenin e rrjedhjes s\u00eb ujit mbi sip\u00ebrfaqe.<\/p>\n
\u201cN\u00eb praktik\u00eb, kjo rrjedhje \u00ebsht\u00eb shkak i shum\u00eb d\u00ebmeve\u201d, shpjegon meteorologu, duke theksuar se ajo mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsoj\u00eb p\u00ebrmbytjet, rr\u00ebshqitjet e dheut dhe rr\u00ebshqitjet e terrenit.<\/p>\n
Ndryshimet nuk kufizohen vet\u00ebm te stina e ngroht\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Me rritjen e temperaturave, kufiri i reshjeve t\u00eb bor\u00ebs do t\u00eb vazhdoj\u00eb t\u00eb ngrihet dhe nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb e madhe e reshjeve n\u00eb lart\u00ebsi t\u00eb ul\u00ebta do t\u00eb bjer\u00eb n\u00eb form\u00ebn e shiut.<\/p>\n
\u201cNdryshe nga e kaluara, p\u00ebrmbytjet mund t\u00eb shtrihen edhe n\u00eb periudha t\u00eb tjera t\u00eb vitit\u201d, thot\u00eb Nisi.<\/p>\n
Nj\u00eb sfid\u00eb p\u00ebr infrastruktur\u00ebn e s\u00eb ardhmes<\/p>\n
K\u00ebto ndryshime p\u00ebrb\u00ebjn\u00eb nj\u00eb sfid\u00eb t\u00eb madhe p\u00ebr planifikimin hap\u00ebsinor dhe infrastruktur\u00ebn.<\/p>\n
Standardet e nd\u00ebrtimit p\u00ebr rrug\u00ebt, urat, digat dhe sistemet e kullimit jan\u00eb hartuar kryesisht mbi baz\u00ebn e t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave historike.<\/p>\n
P\u00ebr t\u00eb shmangur problemet n\u00eb t\u00eb ardhmen, \u00ebsht\u00eb thelb\u00ebsore q\u00eb infrastruktura ekzistuese t\u00eb p\u00ebrmir\u00ebsohet dhe q\u00eb standardet e nd\u00ebrtimit t\u00eb p\u00ebrshtaten me kushtet e reja klimatike.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Ndryshimet klimatike po sjellin m\u00eb pak dit\u00eb me reshje, por kur ato ndodhin, shiu mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb shum\u00eb m\u00eb intensiv. Sipas skenar\u00ebve klimatik\u00eb, kjo prirje pritet t\u00eb vazhdoj\u00eb edhe n\u00eb dekadat e ardhshme. T\u00eb dh\u00ebnat historike t\u00eb regjistruara nga stacionet meteorologjike b\u00ebjn\u00eb t\u00eb mundur gjurmimin e ndryshimeve t\u00eb reshjeve n\u00eb Zvic\u00ebr. \u201cQ\u00eb nga vitet 1980,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":14061,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":8,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14060","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-top"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/oyuntakip.com\/lajme\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/716363070_socialmedia-587x392-1.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/oyuntakip.com\/lajme\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14060","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/oyuntakip.com\/lajme\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/oyuntakip.com\/lajme\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/oyuntakip.com\/lajme\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/oyuntakip.com\/lajme\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14060"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/oyuntakip.com\/lajme\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14060\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14062,"href":"https:\/\/oyuntakip.com\/lajme\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14060\/revisions\/14062"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/oyuntakip.com\/lajme\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14061"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/oyuntakip.com\/lajme\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14060"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/oyuntakip.com\/lajme\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14060"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/oyuntakip.com\/lajme\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14060"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}