{"id":13868,"date":"2026-08-28T16:55:29","date_gmt":"2026-08-28T14:55:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/oyuntakip.com\/lajme\/?p=13868"},"modified":"2026-08-28T16:55:29","modified_gmt":"2026-08-28T14:55:29","slug":"a-po-na-pret-dimri-i-shekullit-meteorologet-paralajmerojne-tre-skenare","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/oyuntakip.com\/lajme\/a-po-na-pret-dimri-i-shekullit-meteorologet-paralajmerojne-tre-skenare\/","title":{"rendered":"A po na pret \u201cdimri i shekullit\u201d, meteorolog\u00ebt paralajm\u00ebrojn\u00eb tre skenar\u00eb"},"content":{"rendered":"

A po na pret \u201cdimri i shekullit\u201d, meteorolog\u00ebt paralajm\u00ebrojn\u00eb tre skenar\u00eb<\/h1>\n

Ndryshe nga pjes\u00ebt e tjera t\u00eb bot\u00ebs, El Ni\u00f1o ndikon n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb vet\u00ebm n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb indirekte. Faktor\u00ebt kryesor\u00eb jan\u00eb zhvillimet mbi Atlantikun e Veriut, si dhe rryma ajrore dhe vorbulla polare mbi Arktik.<\/p>\n

Super El Ni\u00f1o tashm\u00eb po nxit spekulimet p\u00ebr nj\u00eb dim\u00ebr q\u00eb ndodh nj\u00eb her\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb shekull. Por p\u00ebr Evrop\u00ebn, rryma ajrore dhe vorbulla polare jan\u00eb ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme. \u00cbsht\u00eb ende shum\u00eb her\u00ebt p\u00ebr t\u00eb th\u00ebn\u00eb se cili do t\u00eb jet\u00eb rezultati p\u00ebrfundimtar. Meteorolog\u00ebt aktualisht po shqyrtojn\u00eb tre skenar\u00eb shum\u00eb t\u00eb ndrysh\u00ebm, dhe debati \u00ebsht\u00eb nxitur nga nj\u00eb faz\u00eb jasht\u00ebzakonisht e fort\u00eb e El Ni\u00f1os n\u00eb Paq\u00ebsorin tropikal. Uji atje \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb se dy grad\u00eb e gjysm\u00eb m\u00eb i ngroht\u00eb se mesatarja shum\u00ebvje\u00e7are n\u00eb disa vende. Ekspert\u00ebt tashm\u00eb po flasin p\u00ebr nj\u00eb Super El Ni\u00f1o. Fenomeni mund t\u00eb ket\u00eb pasoja t\u00eb m\u00ebdha n\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb bot\u00ebn: n\u00eb Australi favorizon that\u00ebsirat, n\u00eb Amerik\u00ebn e Jugut shkakton p\u00ebrmbytje dhe gjithashtu mund t\u00eb sjell\u00eb nxeht\u00ebsi ekstreme. Megjithat\u00eb, p\u00ebr Evrop\u00ebn , kjo nuk \u00e7on automatikisht n\u00eb nj\u00eb dim\u00ebr ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht t\u00eb ftoht\u00eb.<\/p>\n

Ndryshe nga pjes\u00ebt e tjera t\u00eb bot\u00ebs, El Ni\u00f1o ndikon n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb vet\u00ebm n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb indirekte. Faktor\u00ebt kryesor\u00eb jan\u00eb zhvillimet mbi Atlantikun e Veriut, rryma ajrore dhe vorbulla polare mbi Arktik. Historia e konfirmon k\u00ebt\u00eb. Gjat\u00eb super El Ni\u00f1os m\u00eb t\u00eb fort\u00eb ndonj\u00ebher\u00eb n\u00eb vitet 1997\/98, Gjermania, p\u00ebr shembull, pati nj\u00eb nga dimrat e saj m\u00eb t\u00eb but\u00eb . Prandaj, dimri i nj\u00eb shekulli nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb i paraprogramuar, shkruan Heute.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

Ende \u00ebsht\u00eb plot\u00ebsisht e pasigurt se \u00e7far\u00eb do t\u00eb sjell\u00eb dimri q\u00eb po vjen. Ekzistojn\u00eb tre skenar\u00eb shum\u00eb t\u00eb ndrysh\u00ebm n\u00eb tryez\u00eb.<\/p>\n

Skenari i par\u00eb sugjeron se do t\u00eb mbizot\u00ebrojn\u00eb kushte t\u00eb buta dhe me shi. Mund t\u00eb ket\u00eb stuhi, madje edhe er\u00ebra me forc\u00eb uragani. Rreziku i p\u00ebrmbytjeve do t\u00eb rritet gjithashtu. Skenari i dyt\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb dim\u00ebr q\u00eb ka qen\u00eb m\u00eb i shpesht\u00eb vitet e fundit, i ndryshuesh\u00ebm dhe i but\u00eb, me bor\u00eb t\u00eb rrall\u00eb n\u00eb zonat m\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebta. Skenari i tret\u00eb, i cili \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb interesant p\u00ebr dashamir\u00ebsit e bor\u00ebs, \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb El Ni\u00f1o i fort\u00eb q\u00eb mund t\u00eb ndikoj\u00eb n\u00eb vorbull\u00ebn polare. N\u00ebse dob\u00ebsohet dhe b\u00ebhet e paq\u00ebndrueshme, ajri i ftoht\u00eb polar mund t\u00eb dep\u00ebrtoj\u00eb shum\u00eb n\u00eb jug. Nj\u00eb front i till\u00eb i ftoht\u00eb mund t\u00eb ndodh\u00eb kryesisht n\u00eb pjes\u00ebn e fundit t\u00eb dimrit.<\/p>\n

Nga tre skenar\u00ebt, nj\u00eb dim\u00ebr vazhdimisht i ftoht\u00eb dhe me d\u00ebbor\u00eb konsiderohet aktualisht si m\u00eb pak i mundsh\u00ebm . Nj\u00eb kurs i but\u00eb dhe me stuhi duket m\u00eb realist. Ende nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb e mundur t\u00eb parashikohet me besueshm\u00ebri zhvillimi. N\u00ebse \u2018dimri i shekullit\u2019 do t\u00eb jet\u00eb v\u00ebrtet k\u00ebrc\u00ebnues nuk do t\u00eb vendoset vet\u00ebm mbi Paq\u00ebsorin e ngroht\u00eb. Fati i vorbull\u00ebs polare do t\u00eb jet\u00eb vendimtar n\u00eb jav\u00ebt n\u00eb vijim.<\/p>\n

Nd\u00ebrsa nj\u00eb super El Nino jasht\u00ebzakonisht i fort\u00eb po zhvillohet me shpejt\u00ebsi n\u00eb Paq\u00ebsorin tropikal, nj\u00eb anomali e re oqeanike, e njohur si Dipoli pozitiv i Oqeanit Indian, po forcohet nj\u00ebkoh\u00ebsisht n\u00eb Oqeanin Indian. Ndikimi i kombinuar i t\u00eb dyjave, sipas parashikimeve t\u00eb fundit sezonale, do t\u00eb riform\u00ebsoj\u00eb ndjesh\u00ebm modelet e motit n\u00eb Hemisfer\u00ebn Veriore gjat\u00eb dimrit t\u00eb vitit 2026\/2027, me pasoja t\u00eb theksuara p\u00ebr Shtetet e Bashkuara, Kanadan\u00eb dhe Evrop\u00ebn, njoftoi Severe Weather Europe n\u00eb nj\u00eb parashikim t\u00eb koh\u00ebve t\u00eb fundit.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb Evrop\u00eb, kombinimi i nj\u00eb super El Ni\u00f1o dhe nj\u00eb dipoli pozitiv t\u00eb Oqeanit Indian po favorizon rritjen e fluksit t\u00eb ajrit per\u00ebndimor nga Atlantiku. Parashikimet tregojn\u00eb presion t\u00eb lart\u00eb mbi Evrop\u00ebn Jugore dhe Mesdheun, dhe presion t\u00eb ul\u00ebt mbi pjes\u00ebt veriper\u00ebndimore dhe veriore t\u00eb kontinentit. Kjo do t\u00eb thot\u00eb kryesisht temperatura mbi mesataren n\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb Evrop\u00ebn, fal\u00eb nj\u00eb ndikimi m\u00eb t\u00eb but\u00eb t\u00eb Atlantikut, dhe m\u00eb shum\u00eb reshje, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht n\u00eb veriper\u00ebndim dhe veri. Bora do t\u00eb kufizohet kryesisht n\u00eb rajonet veriore dhe verilindore dhe pjes\u00ebt m\u00eb malore t\u00eb Evrop\u00ebs qendrore, pasi ajri m\u00eb i ftoht\u00eb ka m\u00eb pak t\u00eb ngjar\u00eb t\u00eb zbres\u00eb shum\u00eb n\u00eb jug. Megjithat\u00eb, sistemet individuale ciklonike mund t\u00eb sjellin episode lokale t\u00eb d\u00ebbor\u00ebs n\u00eb brend\u00ebsi t\u00eb vendit.<\/p>\n

Kombinimi i nj\u00eb super El Nino jasht\u00ebzakonisht t\u00eb fort\u00eb dhe nj\u00eb Dipoli pozitiv t\u00eb Oqeanit Indian po krijon nj\u00eb motor t\u00eb fuqish\u00ebm tropikal q\u00eb do t\u00eb form\u00ebsoj\u00eb fuqish\u00ebm rrymat e ajrit gjat\u00eb dimrit t\u00eb vitit 2026\/2027. P\u00ebr Amerik\u00ebn e Veriut, kjo do t\u00eb thot\u00eb nj\u00eb ndryshim i mpreht\u00eb i klim\u00ebs dhe nj\u00eb sezon potencialisht aktiv t\u00eb bor\u00ebs n\u00eb pjes\u00ebt qendrore dhe jugore, nd\u00ebrsa Evropa mund t\u00eb pres\u00eb nj\u00eb dim\u00ebr kryesisht m\u00eb t\u00eb but\u00eb dhe m\u00eb t\u00eb lag\u00ebsht me nj\u00eb ndikim m\u00eb t\u00eb fort\u00eb t\u00eb Atlantikut.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A po na pret \u201cdimri i shekullit\u201d, meteorolog\u00ebt paralajm\u00ebrojn\u00eb tre skenar\u00eb Ndryshe nga pjes\u00ebt e tjera t\u00eb bot\u00ebs, El Ni\u00f1o ndikon n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb vet\u00ebm n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb indirekte. Faktor\u00ebt kryesor\u00eb jan\u00eb zhvillimet mbi Atlantikun e Veriut, si dhe rryma ajrore dhe vorbulla polare mbi Arktik. Super El Ni\u00f1o tashm\u00eb po nxit spekulimet p\u00ebr nj\u00eb dim\u00ebr q\u00eb…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":13869,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":60,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13868","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-top"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/oyuntakip.com\/lajme\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/IMG_7059.jpeg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/oyuntakip.com\/lajme\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13868","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/oyuntakip.com\/lajme\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/oyuntakip.com\/lajme\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/oyuntakip.com\/lajme\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/oyuntakip.com\/lajme\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13868"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/oyuntakip.com\/lajme\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13868\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13870,"href":"https:\/\/oyuntakip.com\/lajme\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13868\/revisions\/13870"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/oyuntakip.com\/lajme\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13869"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/oyuntakip.com\/lajme\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13868"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/oyuntakip.com\/lajme\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13868"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/oyuntakip.com\/lajme\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13868"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}